Early wins can trick you into thinking the curve only goes up. It doesn’t.
Year one at Blue Ocean Pool Service was supposed to be a slow burn. Conservative projections, steady cash flow—that was the play. Nine months later we hit $1 million in revenue, and I let the dopamine do the planning. I pre‑bought trucks, hired a mid‑level management layer, and geared up for a doubling curve that never arrived. When growth cooled, I was stuck with surplus CAPEX and payroll. That single misstep cost us close to $100K—and nearly sank the business I meant to nurture for the long haul.
The takeaway? Any venture can skyrocket, but you must know whether you’re willing (and able) to finance that trajectory—or stomach the burn when it stalls.